Signals that track when a smart money wallet bets a significant multiple of its own historical average on a single market.
| Type | Market | Key Metric | Volume / Inflow | Side | Detected | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVERSIZE | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.7x | $191,548 | NO | 08:54 UTC 23h ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.9x | $31,818 | NO | 06:25 UTC 1d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.5x | $56,939 | YES | 15:36 UTC 2d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 6.9x | $11,459 | NO | 00:20 UTC 3d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.1x | $15,650 | YES | 16:24 UTC 3d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.1x | $35,726 | YES | 17:33 UTC 4d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.7x | $5,768 | YES | 02:24 UTC 6d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.8x | $23,161 | NO | 11:05 UTC 6d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.7x | $18,984 | NO | 03:18 UTC 7d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.8x | $48,230 | YES | 02:36 UTC 7d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.7x | $71,462 | YES | 18:48 UTC 7d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.2x | $59,208 | YES | 15:12 UTC 9d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 9.4x | $5,000 | YES | 07:18 UTC 10d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.6x | $33,690 | NO | 19:01 UTC 10d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 7.5x | $4,000 | YES | 17:43 UTC 10d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.1x | $22,557 | NO | 17:47 UTC 13d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.4x | $52,421 | YES | 09:50 UTC 13d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.2x | $1,543 | YES | 00:35 UTC 14d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.6x | $32,410 | NO | 16:25 UTC 14d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.2x | $17,301 | YES | 05:32 UTC 16d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.5x | $81,600 | NO | 17:45 UTC 25d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 6.1x | $4,217 | YES | 17:37 UTC 25d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.4x | $5,304 | YES | 13:26 UTC 27d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.1x | $5,009 | YES | 16:26 UTC 28d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.6x | $2,039 | YES | 23:20 UTC 30d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.1x | $39,312 | NO | 18:57 UTC 32d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.2x | $17,293 | NO | 16:14 UTC 32d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.4x | $7,354 | YES | 01:19 UTC 33d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.6x | $51,454 | NO | 23:18 UTC 33d ago |