Signals that track when a smart money wallet bets a significant multiple of its own historical average on a single market.
| Type | Market | Key Metric | Volume / Inflow | Side | Detected | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVERSIZE | Will Uber say "Delivery" 10+ times during earnings call? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 9.8x | $800 | NO | 10:57 UTC 1h ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? POLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.4x | $91,878 | YES | 10:10 UTC 2h ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30? MACRO · POLYMARKET | 8.5x | $691 | YES | 00:43 UTC 12h ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.7x | $18,180 | NO | 16:14 UTC 20h ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Polymarket market 0x03226d...000000 OTHER · POLYMARKET | 4.1x | $19,439 | YES | 02:59 UTC 1d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Polymarket market 0x03644e...000000 OTHER · POLYMARKET | 5.0x | $23,693 | YES | 02:53 UTC 1d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.7x | $11,220 | NO | 15:59 UTC 1d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 4.2x | $3,898 | YES | 21:08 UTC 2d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.4x | $2,045 | NO | 09:32 UTC 3d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.6x | $22,206 | NO | 03:24 UTC 3d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Iran leadership change by September 30? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.6x | $22,204 | YES | 02:10 UTC 3d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? CRYPTO · POLYMARKET | 4.1x | $3,834 | NO | 16:59 UTC 3d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 8.5x | $93,171 | YES | 03:09 UTC 4d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Iran leadership change by August 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.6x | $17,328 | YES | 08:55 UTC 5d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.2x | $15,925 | NO | 06:58 UTC 5d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 9.0x | $17,580 | YES | 22:10 UTC 5d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 3.9x | $2,190 | YES | 16:02 UTC 5d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.7x | $18,076 | NO | 06:19 UTC 6d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? POLITICS · POLYMARKET | 6.7x | $225,000 | YES | 12:15 UTC 7d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 4.1x | $97,645 | NO | 10:26 UTC 7d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 4.2x | $8,264 | YES | 03:02 UTC 7d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Amazon say "America" during earnings call? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 4.0x | $327 | NO | 09:40 UTC 8d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 4.8x | $3,634 | NO | 14:43 UTC 8d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? POLITICS · POLYMARKET | 13.7x | $262,228 | NO | 13:47 UTC 8d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Boeing say "Airbus" during earnings call? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 7.8x | $614 | YES | 03:51 UTC 9d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 4.6x | $9,105 | YES | 19:52 UTC 9d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 4.4x | $4,083 | YES | 15:19 UTC 9d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.1x | $4,826 | YES | 06:12 UTC 10d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 10.5x | $12,243 | YES | 22:31 UTC 10d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 8.2x | $16,065 | YES | 19:36 UTC 10d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 4.7x | $43,421 | NO | 13:11 UTC 10d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.7x | $17,774 | NO | 09:38 UTC 11d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 8.0x | $3,000 | NO | 23:41 UTC 11d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 14.5x | $5,360 | NO | 23:35 UTC 11d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 5.8x | $15,716 | YES | 16:54 UTC 11d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 3.4x | $10,052 | NO | 16:54 UTC 11d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.4x | $7,213 | YES | 09:56 UTC 12d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.4x | $16,559 | YES | 01:42 UTC 12d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? CRYPTO · POLYMARKET | 7.4x | $4,000 | NO | 09:26 UTC 13d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? CRYPTO · POLYMARKET | 3.8x | $2,100 | NO | 09:26 UTC 13d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 4.5x | $5,333 | YES | 08:57 UTC 13d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.7x | $14,229 | NO | 21:31 UTC 13d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? MACRO · POLYMARKET | 5.3x | $2,900 | NO | 15:30 UTC 13d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? POLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.7x | $289,409 | NO | 15:16 UTC 13d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.8x | $29,394 | YES | 07:57 UTC 14d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Iran leadership change by July 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.1x | $8,456 | NO | 21:39 UTC 14d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 5.3x | $10,418 | YES | 20:09 UTC 14d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 4.1x | $37,032 | NO | 16:25 UTC 14d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 5.2x | $427 | YES | 15:08 UTC 14d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.9x | $30,011 | YES | 13:17 UTC 15d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? MACRO · POLYMARKET | 5.6x | $5,030 | YES | 11:53 UTC 16d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.9x | $1,845 | NO | 08:10 UTC 16d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Trump out as President before 2027? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.9x | $18,593 | NO | 05:59 UTC 16d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 4.3x | $20,733 | NO | 22:59 UTC 16d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 4.1x | $213 | YES | 20:51 UTC 16d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 20.5x | $1,648 | YES | 14:41 UTC 16d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 4.3x | $351 | NO | 14:30 UTC 16d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 4.1x | $37,224 | YES | 09:22 UTC 17d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 4.0x | $19,331 | YES | 23:29 UTC 17d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | France vs. England: Team to Win SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 3.9x | $36,466 | YES | 22:20 UTC 17d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.7x | $2,152 | YES | 18:15 UTC 17d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by September 30, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.8x | $1,816 | YES | 22:21 UTC 18d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 5.3x | $431 | NO | 06:58 UTC 19d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 4.8x | $5,608 | YES | 19:15 UTC 19d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 4.0x | $4,773 | NO | 16:15 UTC 19d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026? CRYPTO · POLYMARKET | 3.8x | $2,417 | NO | 14:10 UTC 19d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? CRYPTO · POLYMARKET | 7.2x | $4,349 | NO | 13:30 UTC 19d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 6.1x | $12,057 | NO | 10:14 UTC 20d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 4.1x | $45,125 | NO | 08:01 UTC 20d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Trump out as President before GTA VI? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 4.7x | $1,776 | NO | 21:16 UTC 20d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 3.6x | $17,351 | YES | 21:03 UTC 20d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 4.4x | $17,041 | YES | 19:16 UTC 20d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? MACRO · POLYMARKET | 4.6x | $4,298 | YES | 14:35 UTC 20d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? POLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.6x | $5,333 | NO | 14:10 UTC 20d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 4.4x | $72,022 | YES | 11:09 UTC 21d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 5.4x | $277 | YES | 09:58 UTC 21d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 3.9x | $44,300 | NO | 07:56 UTC 21d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 7.2x | $8,333 | YES | 01:04 UTC 21d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 8.0x | $3,042 | NO | 22:37 UTC 21d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 5.6x | $4,218 | YES | 20:29 UTC 21d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 4.3x | $16,810 | YES | 19:16 UTC 21d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? MACRO · POLYMARKET | 7.5x | $3,999 | NO | 12:47 UTC 22d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.2x | $46,602 | NO | 20:31 UTC 22d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Iran leadership change by July 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 6.5x | $30,978 | YES | 15:10 UTC 22d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.0x | $44,060 | NO | 13:49 UTC 22d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 4.1x | $45,574 | NO | 13:10 UTC 22d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will JPMorgan say "Dollar" 10+ times during earnings call? OTHER · POLYMARKET | 5.9x | $486 | YES | 23:34 UTC 23d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 7.7x | $10,742 | YES | 16:55 UTC 23d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 2.9x | $6,568 | YES | 11:20 UTC 24d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.8x | $13,967 | YES | 23:14 UTC 24d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 4.8x | $77,981 | YES | 19:39 UTC 24d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 4.1x | $66,465 | YES | 22:13 UTC 25d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.3x | $2,000 | NO | 21:47 UTC 25d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match? SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 5.0x | $407 | NO | 18:10 UTC 25d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 6.5x | $4,064 | YES | 14:41 UTC 25d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 4.4x | $16,992 | YES | 20:11 UTC 26d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 3.9x | $63,546 | YES | 17:56 UTC 26d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match? SPORTS · POLYMARKET | 6.6x | $543 | NO | 17:01 UTC 26d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 4.8x | $9,482 | YES | 11:45 UTC 28d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? POLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.0x | $118,487 | YES | 09:33 UTC 28d ago |