Signals that track when a smart money wallet bets a significant multiple of its own historical average on a single market.
| Type | Market | Key Metric | Volume / Inflow | Side | Detected | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVERSIZE | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.0x | $81,894 | NO | 01:55 UTC 8h ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.0x | $38,693 | NO | 01:03 UTC 9h ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? POLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.4x | $41,170 | NO | 21:29 UTC 13h ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 4.2x | $5,898 | NO | 12:16 UTC 22h ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.4x | $13,804 | YES | 19:36 UTC 1d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 5.1x | $7,248 | YES | 00:19 UTC 2d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? POLITICS · POLYMARKET | 6.7x | $6,274 | YES | 11:27 UTC 2d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? POLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.3x | $19,907 | NO | 01:48 UTC 3d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.9x | $8,132 | NO | 23:37 UTC 3d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 15.0x | $17,014 | NO | 19:51 UTC 3d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.1x | $12,661 | YES | 17:39 UTC 3d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.8x | $76,525 | NO | 16:24 UTC 3d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.9x | $15,409 | YES | 08:11 UTC 4d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.7x | $11,592 | YES | 00:12 UTC 5d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 5.1x | $5,000 | YES | 18:51 UTC 5d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 6.2x | $129,326 | NO | 16:50 UTC 5d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 10.7x | $64,662 | NO | 16:48 UTC 5d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.4x | $71,730 | NO | 13:43 UTC 5d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 8.2x | $46,471 | YES | 19:12 UTC 7d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.9x | $4,623 | YES | 15:14 UTC 7d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.1x | $21,148 | NO | 13:53 UTC 8d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.8x | $82,288 | NO | 13:42 UTC 8d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 6.7x | $3,256 | NO | 12:47 UTC 8d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires? POLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.2x | $7,289 | YES | 19:28 UTC 9d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.0x | $12,613 | NO | 17:45 UTC 9d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.5x | $5,198 | YES | 02:22 UTC 10d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.9x | $5,565 | YES | 01:07 UTC 10d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 4.4x | $1,700 | YES | 23:11 UTC 10d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.6x | $4,386 | YES | 01:45 UTC 11d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 6.5x | $37,956 | NO | 10:58 UTC 12d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.5x | $72,277 | NO | 04:09 UTC 13d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 5.0x | $5,091 | YES | 23:59 UTC 13d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 6.2x | $3,056 | NO | 21:39 UTC 13d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 6.8x | $21,157 | NO | 20:29 UTC 13d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.6x | $14,301 | YES | 20:26 UTC 13d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.2x | $60,662 | NO | 19:54 UTC 13d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 5.1x | $18,127 | YES | 19:18 UTC 13d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.2x | $69,776 | NO | 12:19 UTC 13d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.8x | $31,899 | NO | 11:40 UTC 13d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.3x | $4,996 | YES | 02:09 UTC 14d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.9x | $69,949 | NO | 12:23 UTC 14d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.5x | $27,124 | YES | 14:38 UTC 15d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? POLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.8x | $14,471 | NO | 12:04 UTC 15d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Starmer out by July 31, 2026? POLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.1x | $5,148 | YES | 22:30 UTC 16d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.3x | $32,104 | YES | 21:42 UTC 16d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 6.3x | $2,408 | YES | 08:12 UTC 17d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 3.9x | $5,559 | YES | 23:43 UTC 17d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.1x | $379,678 | NO | 11:37 UTC 17d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 6.5x | $109,484 | YES | 04:20 UTC 18d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.9x | $64,679 | NO | 02:24 UTC 18d ago |