Signals that track when a smart money wallet bets a significant multiple of its own historical average on a single market.
| Type | Market | Key Metric | Volume / Inflow | Side | Detected | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVERSIZE | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? POLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.4x | $91,878 | YES | 10:10 UTC 2h ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.7x | $18,180 | NO | 16:14 UTC 20h ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.7x | $11,220 | NO | 15:59 UTC 1d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.4x | $2,045 | NO | 09:32 UTC 3d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.6x | $22,206 | NO | 03:24 UTC 3d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Iran leadership change by September 30? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.6x | $22,204 | YES | 02:10 UTC 3d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 8.5x | $93,171 | YES | 03:09 UTC 4d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Iran leadership change by August 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.6x | $17,328 | YES | 08:55 UTC 5d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.2x | $15,925 | NO | 06:58 UTC 5d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 9.0x | $17,580 | YES | 22:10 UTC 5d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.7x | $18,076 | NO | 06:19 UTC 6d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? POLITICS · POLYMARKET | 6.7x | $225,000 | YES | 12:15 UTC 7d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 4.1x | $97,645 | NO | 10:26 UTC 7d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 4.2x | $8,264 | YES | 03:02 UTC 7d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? POLITICS · POLYMARKET | 14.0x | $262,228 | NO | 13:47 UTC 8d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.1x | $4,826 | YES | 06:12 UTC 10d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 10.5x | $12,243 | YES | 22:31 UTC 10d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 8.2x | $16,065 | YES | 19:36 UTC 10d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.7x | $17,774 | NO | 09:38 UTC 11d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 8.0x | $3,000 | NO | 23:41 UTC 11d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 14.5x | $5,360 | NO | 23:35 UTC 11d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.4x | $7,213 | YES | 09:56 UTC 12d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.4x | $16,559 | YES | 01:42 UTC 12d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.7x | $14,229 | NO | 21:31 UTC 13d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? POLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.7x | $289,409 | NO | 15:16 UTC 13d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.8x | $29,394 | YES | 07:57 UTC 14d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Iran leadership change by July 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.1x | $8,456 | NO | 21:39 UTC 14d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 5.3x | $10,418 | YES | 20:09 UTC 14d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.9x | $30,011 | YES | 13:17 UTC 15d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.9x | $1,845 | NO | 08:10 UTC 16d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Trump out as President before 2027? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.9x | $18,593 | NO | 05:59 UTC 16d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.7x | $2,152 | YES | 18:15 UTC 17d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by September 30, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.8x | $1,816 | YES | 22:21 UTC 18d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 4.8x | $5,608 | YES | 19:15 UTC 19d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 6.1x | $12,057 | NO | 10:14 UTC 20d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? POLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.6x | $5,333 | NO | 14:10 UTC 20d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 7.2x | $8,333 | YES | 01:04 UTC 21d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 8.0x | $3,042 | NO | 22:37 UTC 21d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.2x | $46,602 | NO | 20:31 UTC 22d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Iran leadership change by July 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 7.0x | $30,978 | YES | 15:10 UTC 22d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.0x | $44,060 | NO | 13:49 UTC 22d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 4.8x | $13,967 | YES | 23:14 UTC 24d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? GEOPOLITICS · POLYMARKET | 5.3x | $2,000 | NO | 21:47 UTC 25d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? ELECTION · POLYMARKET | 4.8x | $9,482 | YES | 11:45 UTC 28d ago | |
| OVERSIZE | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? POLITICS · POLYMARKET | 3.0x | $118,487 | YES | 09:33 UTC 28d ago |